Two-Year Election

Starting next fall, the last two years of uncertainty will happen two election years. Not because our economic horizon has cleared, what else we wanted, but the required electoral calendar.

If the government of Rodriguez Zapatero was not viscerally layman, would be praying and all the saints for the economic course is straight and thus win the general election of 2012. But I fear that it will not be so, the practice of prayers, of course, but also improving our economy, given the vagaries of government regulations, delaying many of them and the lack of specificity of most of the measures taken.

Server, rather than the Virgin of Lourdes, is aligned with those economists, type Santiago Nino Becerra, who regard the economic crisis of systemic and believe that it has only just begun and may last even a decade.

This hypothesis, terrible for ordinary citizens and the forerunner of other potential disasters can also be devastating for the PSOE increased from Felipe González prostration to the ecstasy of power. From Autumn the Catalan elections, the Socialists may be deprived of several regional and municipal governments that hold today and stay on the shelf.

The beneficiary in this scenario would be catastrophic Mariano Rajoy, the Popular Party with electoral success does not deserve to have the lump drained until now, the ambiguity of their position and because it shares with the PSOE an addiction to power over any other consideration . This is a PP to which citizens may hold onto as the last straws of hope, but neither inspires much confidence.

We speak of a formation in which, for example, its general secretary, Maria Dolores de Cospedal, puts the aesthetic progress to rigorous analysis, and in which the leader of Valencia, Francisco Camps, the full dotted Gürtel case, it insists on repeating in his position, thus confusing the game with him.

But this is what you get. In this country, given the inexperience of the political group of Rosa Díez, there is still a game hinge, as in Britain or Germany, which allows other power options. Here, the third option are the nationalist parties, by definition outside the general interests of Spain, and also, I must say, the phenomenon of the white vote, evidence of the growing disaffection of citizens show all the surveys.

So, look for where, the next election results will not decide the parties' programs, but how will the economy regardless of the demerits of one or the other, since their meager merits are not seen anywhere.